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It Is Not the Journey but the Destination: Endpoint Conditioned Trajectory Prediction
Karttikeya Mangalam Harshayu Girase Shreyas Agarwal Kuan-Hui Lee Ehsan Adeli Jitendra Malik Adrien Gaidon

Abstract
Human trajectory forecasting with multiple socially interacting agents is of critical importance for autonomous navigation in human environments, e.g., for self-driving cars and social robots. In this work, we present Predicted Endpoint Conditioned Network (PECNet) for flexible human trajectory prediction. PECNet infers distant trajectory endpoints to assist in long-range multi-modal trajectory prediction. A novel non-local social pooling layer enables PECNet to infer diverse yet socially compliant trajectories. Additionally, we present a simple "truncation-trick" for improving few-shot multi-modal trajectory prediction performance. We show that PECNet improves state-of-the-art performance on the Stanford Drone trajectory prediction benchmark by ~20.9% and on the ETH/UCY benchmark by ~40.8%. Project homepage: https://karttikeya.github.io/publication/htf/
Code Repositories
Benchmarks
| Benchmark | Methodology | Metrics |
|---|---|---|
| trajectory-prediction-on-ethucy | PECNet | ADE-8/12: 0.29 FDE-8/12: 0.48 |
| trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone | PECNet | ADE-8/12 @K = 20: 9.96 FDE-8/12 @K= 20: 15.88 |
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