5 months ago

EarthNet2021: A large-scale dataset and challenge for Earth surface forecasting as a guided video prediction task

Requena-Mesa Christian ; Benson Vitus ; Reichstein Markus ; Runge Jakob ; Denzler Joachim

Abstract

Satellite images are snapshots of the Earth surface. We propose to forecastthem. We frame Earth surface forecasting as the task of predicting satelliteimagery conditioned on future weather. EarthNet2021 is a large dataset suitablefor training deep neural networks on the task. It contains Sentinel 2 satelliteimagery at 20m resolution, matching topography and mesoscale (1.28km)meteorological variables packaged into 32000 samples. Additionally we frameEarthNet2021 as a challenge allowing for model intercomparison. Resultingforecasts will greatly improve (>x50) over the spatial resolution found innumerical models. This allows localized impacts from extreme weather to bepredicted, thus supporting downstream applications such as crop yieldprediction, forest health assessments or biodiversity monitoring. Find data,code, and how to participate at www.earthnet.tech

Code Repositories

earthnet2021/earthnet-toolkit

earthnet2021/earthnet-model-intercomparison-suite

Official

Benchmarks

Benchmark	Methodology	Metrics
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021	Persistence Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.1939
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021	Arcon Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.2215
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021	Channel-U-Net Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.2364
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021-1	Persistence Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.2676
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021-1	Channel-U-Net Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.1955
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021-1	Arcon Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.1587
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021-iid	Persistence Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.2625
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021-iid	Channel-U-Net Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.2902
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021-iid	Arcon Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.2803
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021-ood	Arcon Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.2655
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021-ood	Channel-U-Net Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.2854
earth-surface-forecasting-on-earthnet2021-ood	Persistence Baseline	EarthNetScore: 0.2587

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