HyperAIHyperAI

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers

Yuqi Nie Nam H. Nguyen Phanwadee Sinthong Jayant Kalagnanam

Abstract

We propose an efficient design of Transformer-based models for multivariate time series forecasting and self-supervised representation learning. It is based on two key components: (i) segmentation of time series into subseries-level patches which are served as input tokens to Transformer; (ii) channel-independence where each channel contains a single univariate time series that shares the same embedding and Transformer weights across all the series. Patching design naturally has three-fold benefit: local semantic information is retained in the embedding; computation and memory usage of the attention maps are quadratically reduced given the same look-back window; and the model can attend longer history. Our channel-independent patch time series Transformer (PatchTST) can improve the long-term forecasting accuracy significantly when compared with that of SOTA Transformer-based models. We also apply our model to self-supervised pre-training tasks and attain excellent fine-tuning performance, which outperforms supervised training on large datasets. Transferring of masked pre-trained representation on one dataset to others also produces SOTA forecasting accuracy. Code is available at: https://github.com/yuqinie98/PatchTST.


Build AI with AI

From idea to launch — accelerate your AI development with free AI co-coding, out-of-the-box environment and best price of GPUs.

AI Co-coding
Ready-to-use GPUs
Best Pricing

HyperAI Newsletters

Subscribe to our latest updates
We will deliver the latest updates of the week to your inbox at nine o'clock every Monday morning
Powered by MailChimp
A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers | Papers | HyperAI