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3 months ago

Multivariate Time Series Imputation with Generative Adversarial Networks

{Yonghong Luo Yuan Xiaojie Jun Xu Ying Zhang Xiangrui Cai}

Multivariate Time Series Imputation with Generative Adversarial Networks

Abstract

Multivariate time series usually contain a large number of missing values, which hinders the application of advanced analysis methods on multivariate time series data. Conventional approaches to addressing the challenge of missing values, including mean/zero imputation, case deletion, and matrix factorization-based imputation, are all incapable of modeling the temporal dependencies and the nature of complex distribution in multivariate time series. In this paper, we treat the problem of missing value imputation as data generation. Inspired by the success of Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) in image generation, we propose to learn the overall distribution of a multivariate time series dataset with GAN, which is further used to generate the missing values for each sample. Different from the image data, the time series data are usually incomplete due to the nature of data recording process. A modified Gate Recurrent Unit is employed in GAN to model the temporal irregularity of the incomplete time series. Experiments on two multivariate time series datasets show that the proposed model outperformed the baselines in terms of accuracy of imputation. Experimental results also showed that a simple model on the imputed data can achieve state-of-the-art results on the prediction tasks, demonstrating the benefits of our model in downstream applications.

Benchmarks

BenchmarkMethodologyMetrics
multivariate-time-series-imputation-on-2GRUI
OOB Rate (10^−3) : 4.703
Path Difference: 0.690
Path Length: 1.141
Player Distance : 0.398
Step Change (10^−3): 14.95
multivariate-time-series-imputation-on-kddGAN-2-stage
MSE (10% missing): 0.355
multivariate-time-series-imputation-on-pemsGRUI
L2 Loss (10^-4): 15.24

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Multivariate Time Series Imputation with Generative Adversarial Networks | Papers | HyperAI