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3 months ago

Spatial-Temporal Synchronous Graph Convolutional Networks: A New Framework for Spatial-Temporal Network Data Forecasting

{Huaiyu Wan Shengnan Guo Youfang Lin Chao Song}

Abstract

Spatial-temporal network data forecasting is of great importance in a huge amount of applications for traffic management and urban planning. However, the underlying complex spatial-temporal correlations and heterogeneities make this problem challenging. Existing methods usually use separate components to capture spatial and temporal correlations and ignore the heterogeneities in spatial-temporal data. In this paper, we propose a novel model, named Spatial-Temporal Synchronous Graph Convolutional Networks (STSGCN), for spatial-temporal network data forecasting. The model is able to effectively capture the complex localized spatial-temporal correlations through an elaborately designed spatial-temporal synchronous modeling mechanism. Meanwhile, multiple modules for different time periods are designed in the model to effectively capture the heterogeneities in localized spatialtemporal graphs. Extensive experiments are conducted on four real-world datasets, which demonstrates that our method achieves the state-of-the-art performance and consistentlyoutperforms other baselines.

Benchmarks

BenchmarkMethodologyMetrics
traffic-prediction-on-bjtaxiSTSGCN
MAE @ in: 12.72
MAE @ out: 12.79
MAPE (%) @ in: 17.22
MAPE (%) @ out: 17.35
traffic-prediction-on-nycbike1STSGCN
MAE @ in: 5.81
MAE @ out: 6.10
MAPE (%) @ in: 26.51
MAPE (%) @ out: 27.56
traffic-prediction-on-nycbike2STSGCN
MAE @ in: 5.25
MAE @ out: 4.94
MAPE (%) @ in: 29.26
MAPE (%) @ out: 28.02
traffic-prediction-on-nyctaxiSTSGCN
MAE @ in: 13.69
MAE @ out: 10.75
MAPE (%) @ in: 22.91
MAPE (%) @ out: 22.37
traffic-prediction-on-pems07STSGCN
MAE@1h: 24.26

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Spatial-Temporal Synchronous Graph Convolutional Networks: A New Framework for Spatial-Temporal Network Data Forecasting | Papers | HyperAI